amoc

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Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf fediscience.org

Here’s 3 surprising new preprints on the Atlantic ocean circulation #AMOC. 🌊The first by Winkelbauer et al. analyses 17 different ocean reanalysis products and finds the AMOC has weakened about 15% over the last 3 decades.
egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/…

The 2nd by Bell et al. from UK Met Office does a similar analysis using atmospheric reanalysis, deriving #AMOC changes from an energy balance and the heat flux though the ocean surface. The find about 14% AMOC weakening over the past 3 decades.
researchsquare.com/article/…

A study by Ben-Yami et al. looks for tell-tale signs of approaching an #AMOC tipping point in historic runs of climate models vs. observed SST patterns. They find a loss of stability in the real-world AMOC but not in models, so AMOC in models may be too stable.
journals.plos.org/climate/…

Prof. Stefan Rahmstorf @rahmstorf fediscience.org

A thoroughly researched article from Politico on one of the major climate risks: the linked tipping points of the subpolar gyre #SPG and the #AMOC in the Atlantic.
SPG collapse could occur within 20 the next years.
politico.eu/article/…

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